republican contender used today's speech to keep up his criticism of the obama administration. romney had a swagger. he's riding a wave of momentum after last week's debate. latest poll taken after the denver show count has the race tied at 47 among registered voters. president obama had a five point advantage in the three days leading in the debate. the same poll found voters overwhelmingly said romney won't debate, the biggest debate win ever recorded by gallup. bigger than clinton's 42 point margin over bush.4!zf[ç in los angeles last night musicians lent their support. mr. obama thanked the performers and threw in a not so subtle reference to his debate performance. >> the president: they perform flawlessly, night after night. i can't always say the same. >> reporter: with the polls tightening the pressure is on vice president biden who squares off against ryan thursday night. karen travers, abc news, washington. >>> senator feinstein has called for a federal investigation into record gas prices we are pail. today's report shows san francisco averages $4.74 for regular oakland and san

. >>> president obama and mitt romney are preparing for this week's high profile debate. mr. obama is at a resort in nevada, mitt romney has practice planned in massachusetts. tahman bradley with more on how they are handling expectations. >> reporter: president obama and mitt romney start the week gearing up for a crucial showdown wednesday at the first presidential debate in denver. in las vegas last night the president tried to manage expectations. >> the president: folks in the media are speculating already on who is going to have the best zingers. governor nor romney is a good debater. >> reporter: as they hunker down for practice poll show americans overwhelmingly think the debate and election are the president's to lose entitle a new poll this morning, 63% of registered voters expect president obama to win. his biggest lead so far when it comes to expectations. actual support the race is closer president obama leads mitt romney by just two points, 49-47%. that's why the debates could be the pivotal turning point the romney campaign is hoping for. governor christie predicted romney could cl

obama attended fundraisers in los angeles yesterday. featuring a concert. the president took a jab at his own debate performance last week. he said while the singers are able to perform flawlessly night after night he can't always say the same. >>> mitt romney meantime scheduled to deliver a foreign policy speech today at the virginia military institute. according to his prepared remarks, he will propose a new assertive role for the u.s. in syria, more sanctions on iran, and a change in the u.s. policy in the middle east. the republican nominee will portray president obama as a weak leader. >>> in overnight news back here in the bay area oakland police are investigating a shooting that happened just after 11:00 last night on church street. police say the victims showed up to the east mont police station in a car that was riddled with bullet holes. we don't know the victims condition this morning but so far no arrests have been made. >>> an investigation is under way after a body was found inside a car in east oakland. the body was found at about 5:00 last night at richy and olive stre

used today's speech to keep up his criticism of the obama administration. romney had a swagger. he's riding a wave of momentum after last week's debate. latest poll taken after the denver show count has the race tied at 47 among registered voters. president obama had a five point advantage in the three days leading in th debate theame poll found voters ovwhelngly sd romy won't debate, the biggest debate win ever recorded by gallup. bigger than clinton's 42 point margin over bush.4!zf[ç in los angeles last night musicians lent their support. mr. obama thanked the performers and threw in a not so subtle reference to his debate performance. >> the president: theyerfor flawlely, night aft nit. i can't always say the same. reporter: with the polls tightening the pressure is on vice president biden who squares off against ryan thursday night. karen travers, abc news, washington. >>> senator feinstein has called for a federal investigation into record gas prices we are pail. today's report shows san francisco averages $4.74 for regular oakland and san jose $4.68. those prices are 50 cents

advantage of, and i think if obama gets re-elected -- and i know there was a lot of excitement with romney this week -- >> right. >> -- i think he still gets elected, and i think some air comes out of these stocks. >> and i want you to explain vol differential to all the audience. but in the meantime we're going to explain the put calendar, which is the trade that you're putting on tonight, dan. we've done calendars before, of course, but it's always good to refresh, so let's crack open the playbook and see how this thing works. in this strategy you sell in your data put and use that money to buy a longer data put of the same strike. this is a bearish strategy. it does require timing though. you want the stock to be above the strike of the put you're short by the first expiration but below the strike of the longer data put that you were long by the second expiration. so, dan, walk us through the trade. >> sure. so i did this today, and here's the thing. i'm going to do this trade in earnest next week, wednesday or thursday prior to earnings because like you said, you've got to threa

the first presidential debate is on wednesday. mitt romney and president obama have been preparing day and night. with both men saying the other guy is going to do a better job. president obama and mitt romney start the week with a crucial showdown on wednesday at the first presidential debate in denver. at a rally in las vegas, president obama tried to manage the speculations. >> i know the media is speculating who is going to have the best zinger. i don't know about that. governor romney, he's a good debater. >> reporter: as both hunker down for intense practice, the polls show americans overwhelming with the election and the president lose. in a new abc news/"washington post" poll out this morning, 63% of registered voters expect president obama to win the election. that's his biggest lead so far when it comes to expectations. but looking at like hi supporters, the race is much closer. president obama leads mitt romney by two points. republican governor chris christie predicted romney could close the gap with president obama after a strong showing on wednesday's debate. >> i'm absol

presidential debate last week was a game changer, at least for now. here's the newest poll. for the first time governor mitt romney pulling ahead leading president obama among likely voters. the president is under pressure tonight, so what are his plans to turn this around? 29 days to go before americans head to the polls, it's "your voice, your vote," and abc's jake tapper has been working the phones talking to campaign insiders. he's at the white house. jake? >> reporter: good evening, diane. well, the obama campaign's official line is that the president's debate performance did not change the fundamentals of the race, but behind the scenes with that new poll, some top democrats are getting nervous and say the pressure is on vice president biden. president obama's sending a message to his supporters about last week's debate disaster. he gets it. here he is at a los angeles fund-raiser praising the opening performer. >> they just perform flawlessly night after night. i can't always say the same. >> reporter: in the last few days, the pundits have been vicious and the comics no kinder, wh

begins at 6:00 p.m. >>> president obama makes one fund raising visit next week. a week from monday he will host a dinner in san francisco. now to dine with the president will set you back $20,000 a plate. that campaign has not yet announced the musical guest. >>> our election coverage continues at 10:30, we look at the proposition that eases the state's tough three strikes sentencing law. that if approved could lead to the release of thousands of inmates. >>> san francisco mayor ed lee was on hand earlier this evening to kick off the 30th annual oracle open world user conference. larry ellison delivered the opening dress debuting new cloud computing products. 50,000 people are expected to attend the week long event at masconi center. the area around howard street is expected to be blocked and drivers will likely experience delays. the event is expected to bring in an influx of cash to retailers. >> it has a really huge impact to the city. i think it brings a lot of revenue and we're lucky to have it. >> reporter: open world runs through october 4th. >>> more details now, tomorrow orac

: clouds the first part of the work week, the forecast is coming up. >> i'm liverk where we're just minutes away from game two, hear what the fans had to say, coming up. >> also just ahead, president obama heads to the bay area. why the trip is all about money and music. plus, husbands carrying a heavy load at the unusual contest that's all about >> ama: the a's had their moments today but the cheers died in the end as the green and gold is coming home to oakland, down 2-0 in the playoff series. now it's the giants' term, but not losing the game. lillian kim is live at at&t park where the game is about to begin. reporter: giants fans got here hours early, and before the gates even opened, and they're still making their way inside the ballpark. they're really counting on a win tonight. game two of the nlds begins in minutes and giants fans seem to b confident that their team is going to pull it off tonight. they say last night's 5-2 loss against the cincinnati red was disappointing but it was only game one and no one seems to be worried how the giants will do the rest of the series.

performance that a lot say barack obama put in this past week over the next 24 hours. what do you expect we'll see. >> some momentum for mitt romney in those national polls, the daily tracking national polls. he's definitely picked up. also has a lot more excitement with his crowds right now and it seems like it's re-energized his campaign but what i'll watch are those polls in the key battleground states like ohio, virginia, florida, colorado, those have to start closing up for mitt romney as well, so far they haven't, in fact, there is a new poll out this morning coming out of the university of denver showing barack obama maintains a four-point lead in colorado. >> and it is the battleground states where this race will be won. >> absolutely. >> very quickly, vice presidential race. any pest depth for a vice presidential debate impacting the trajectory of a race? >> not -- probably one of the most serious debate moments everywhere lloyd bentson took on dan quayle and said you're no jack kennedy but in the end george h.w. bush still won that race. >> george stephanopoulos, thank you very

. >>reporter: president obama sending a message to his supporters about last week debate dister he gets it. here he is at los angeles fundraiser praising the opening performers. >> they just performed flawles flawlessly. nature after nigh night. i can't always say the same. >>reporter: last if you day theundit vicus and the comic no kinder. whether new new yorker cover or "saturday night live". >> mr. president governor romney has just said that he killed osama bin laden. would you care to respond? >> no you two go ahead. >> gallup poll believes romney did the superior job. sf percent to obama 20 percent. incumbentpresent wall off from cfrontatiften umbleas d reagan i 1984. >> i did avoid i'm afraid in my previous answer also. >> president obama seemed to have initially thought all went well that night. >> this was a terrific debate. >> but quickly after leaving the stage the president talked to aide and realized he had not brought his a game. this is on me he later told top advisors and sincehen he has been studying the video of the night with goal of more energetic and crisp performan

morning, alison. >> reporter: big, big surprise this morning and this could be the boost the obama campaign is look for this week. let's take a closer look at the numbers. the labor department september jobs report shows the economy added 114,000 jobs last month. the unemployment rate dropped significantly to 7.8% from 8.1% in august. 245 is a sur -- that is a surprise because economists were expecting it to tick up. president obama and mitt romney will be campaigning in virginia today. this will give him something to crow about today. it's the first time unemployment has been below 8% since he took office. the romney campaign will likely say it's not enough. some republicans are tweeting this morning the administration must be fudging the number. we are reaching out to both campaigns for reaction this morning. reporting live from washington, d.c. alison burns. >>> time now 6:15. the u.s. secret service has new policies in place now after the most embarrassing scandal in the secret service history. the new policy would ban excessive drinking and sharing of work related information

. the last time i remember this, it went up over $5. it was when obama ran. >> reporter: take a look at what is happening in san jose. according to fuel gauge report a week ago regular unleaded was $4.16. yesterday $4.38. today the average is up to $4.54. that is a jump of $0.38. even though prices are high in the bay area, we are finding that in los angeles the prices are even higher. some gas station owners are shutting down their pumps because they don't want to charge the higher prices just to break even. >>> let's check in with sal. 5:38 is the time. how is traffic? >> good morning. traffic is still doing pretty well. in most areas. we haven't seen a lot of problems out there. we've had minor crashes that weren't causing any slow downs really. let's take a look at 80 westbound. no major problems here. it's a nice looking drive all the way through. it is getting a little more crowded here. although there is not a backup just yet. if you are driving on 80 a little farther up that traffic is off to a start. as it moves toward us it has enhanced that high cloud deck and low cloud deck.

probably helped slow the obama fall but now we move into another week people will be talking about biden, and then a couple of more with romney and obama. >> bill: yeah, i was surprised and impressed, i guess that obama proved -- so he didn't have a good night, we all know that, but i thought he bounced back pretty quickly the next day. he has been having a lot of fun with the big bird line. and it showed a lot of resilience, i thought, and as you point out the job numbers came on friday which gave him another little boost, cutting the impact of any romney bounce. >> yeah he has an incredible amount of fire and energy when it is his back up against the wall. >> bill: yeah. >> it's almost like he puts himself in positions like that so that he can get excited about politics again. he obviously didn't want to be on that stage, wednesday night. you could just tell he was like, god, 90 minutes. i'm just going to stand here for 90 minutes and let this guy say stuff, and then he sees that the entire nation is mocking him, and then he gets fired up. his aids were talking about the way you could

importance. there is pressure on biden to deliver after president obama's poor performance last week. also, this is a campaign where president obama is running as much against paul ryan's ideas as he is against mitt romney. that elevates ryan as well. >> it seems clear in choosing chris van holland they will go against the first ryan budget, the first medicare plan and also the ryan book. they will go after the budget cuts and troo to tag mitt romney with the severity, using the term relatively, of the ryan budget cuts. >> right. rom uh any down played the ryan road map. keep in mind the first ryan budget plan included privatizing social security, at least to a certain extent. that's something ryan then dropped in his subsequent budgets. it was there and he was one of the advocates of the plan to put it in the market. secondly the medicare issue. those entitlements, we'll ha from biden about thursday. a lot of democrats think he dropped the ball not pushing the issues against mitt romney. joe biden will read ryan's book and go after those entitlements. >> up next, as mitt romney focuses on

obama trying to bounce back from his debate performance hits the campaign trail this week making stops in california and the key battleground state of ohio. he is also expected to visit other swing states in the week and continue to prepare for the next presidential debate. >>> foreign policy will be in the spotlight tomorrow when mitt romney gives a speech at the virginia military institute. but the highlight of the week will be the vice presidential debate, joe biden and paul ryan face-off thursday in their only showdown in danville, kentucky. >>> while wall street gears up for earning season this week, a lot of big companies reporting, including alcoa, and jpmorgan chase, and will we see the third earnings declined in the third quarter. also ahead this week, the latest inflation data and a look at consumer sentiment. we will track that in the business news on cnn money. >>> and here is what we are watching this week. we are speaking with simmons. the daughter of kiss front man gene simmons. and also a few other big stars to stop by and talk hot topics with me on "showbiz tonight." >

? >>guest: this will be more of an issue in the debate. mitt romney raised it last week and president obama blamed exxon mobil and they fired back at the president when he suggested changing the tax law to affect that company and it will come up in the v.p. debate and more down the stretch especially if prices are around $4 a gallon. >>eric: what do you think of the idea of relaxing the epa standards? the way i understand it, it is the california epa standard and keeping the national epa standard in place with the blending requirement. what do you think of that idea? >>guest: i'm not an energy expert but the politicians always have to be active in this situation you cannot just it is back and all the people in california, they are upset, they want something done. you can just say, we cannot do anything, it is up to the speculators and the markets. you have to try something. even though a last times when you do something, times it doesn't work. you have to be active whether you are a democrat or republican. you have to respond to the concerns. when you are spending this amount of money, $70

understanding of how cells and organisms develop. other awards will be announced throughout the week. >>> president obama making a last dash for campaign cash in california before the november election arriving in the bay area later today. parking restrictions and no stopping signs are springing up outside the inter-continental in san francisco. the president will host event at 4:00, then move on to the auditorium at 5 for fundraising concert. he spoke to thousands at the nokia theater in los angeles last night. he came on stage after performances. he says he marvels at how they performed flawlessly night after night but cannot say the same for himself, poking finance at his performance in the debate with mitt romney. more on the latest poll coming up. >>> fleet week wraps up today with tours of ships from the u.s. navy, coast guard and royal canadian navy. they start at 9:00 this morning, will draw big crowds. weekend performances by the blue angels, america's cup and hardly strictly bluegrass festival drew massive crowds to san francisco. bart ridership hit record highs saturday ov

say they saw a surge in donations after last week's debate. and raked it in 12 million dollars in less than 48 hours. today in part st. louisie florida president obama brought up the president's uneven debate performance. >> days later we're hearing his excuses. and next january we will be watching him leave the white house for the last time. >> reporter: nearly a week later, talk of the debate still dominated the sunday round table. obama senior advisor david axelrod defended the president on "face the nation". >> i think he was a little taken aback at the braz enness with which governor romney walked away from so many of the positions on which he's run. >> reporter: with just nine days until the two men debate again, this time in hempstead, new york, both campaigns are hoping solid performances will woo voters and donors alike. but while the romney campaign deals with heightened expectation, obama advisors are still not saying what, if anything, the president will do differently this time around. >> i think you can assume that he's reviewed the tape. and it will inform-- it will

tomorrow. >> all right. [laughter] president obama: during the last weeks of this campaign... there will be debates, speeches, and more ads. but if i could sit down with you, in your living room or... around the kitchen table, here's what i'd say. when i took office, we were losing nearleight hud.red... thousand jobs a month, and were mired in iraq. today, i believe that as a nation we are... moving forward again. but we have much more to do to get folks back to work and... make the middle class secure again. now, governor romney believes that with even bigger... cux cuts for the wealthy, and fewer regulations... on wall street, all of us will prosper. in other words, he'd double down on the same trickle-down... policies that led to the crisis in the first place. so what's my plan? first, we creaeate a million new manufacturing jobs... and help businesses double their exports... give tax breaks to companies that... invest in america, not that ship jobs overseas. second, we cut our oil imports in half and produce more... american-made energy. oil, clean coal, natural gas... and new resources

. have a great weekend. >> you too. melissa: so here's the question of the day, will president obama get a bump in the polls next week because of today's jobs report? we want to hear what you think. like us on facebook at facebook.com/melissafrancisfox or follow me on twitter at melissaafrancis. >>> frustration over a fracking rules has a bipartisan group of senators fighting back. north dakota senator john hoeven is here exclusively to explain. >>> plus the national hockey league canceled 84 games on a fight how to split up $3 billion in revenue? how much do they stand to lose? the at end of the day, it is always about money. ♪ . melissa: what the frack? that is what members of the u.s. senate committee on environmental public works must be thinking. a group of them are venting frustrations to the environmental protection agency for increasing regulation of hydraulic fracking. so how are the epa's fracking guidelines stifling the industry? with me in a fox business exclusive, senator john hoeven from north dakota. thank you so much for joining us. i took some time to look through

latest economic numbers last week showed the unemployment rate was better than expected. in his weekly address, president obama talked about the sudden drop from 8.1% to 7.8% while mitt romney and the republican contender gave his own take on why. >> the number to people if percentage of the american population in the workforce were the same today as the day he was elected, our unemployment rate would be above 11%. >> more americans are entering the workforce. more americans are getting jobs. >> the unemployment news not talk of wednesday night's presidential debates and the president's poor performance right out of the headlines. some republicans suggest that the labor department's timing was no convince. the vice presidential candidates are also getting ready for their first debate thursday night in kentucky. >>> big bird is still making headlines after last week's presidential debate. republican mitt romney mentioned the beloved character when talked about the nation's debt and cutting funding for pbs. last night on "saturday night live," the beloved big bird responded. >> do you ha

head into this week's debate. running a tight race, our new poll shows president obama running a two-point lead over mitt romney. ahead of wednesday night's face-off. the president now in nevada preparing for the debate. mitt romney rehearsing in manages mis. both campaigns are downplaying expectations. >>> and a deadly day in afghanistan. three american troops killed this morning in a suicide bombing just one day after a very grim milestone there. now more than 2,000 u.s. troops have been killed in the war. >>> and a daring rescue caught on camera in texas. you can see the suv there sburs flames after the driver lost control and crashed. but then the driver of a passing car stops, risking his own life, pulling that driver out on to the parking lot. and great news today, the man okay this morning. >>> and u.s. agriculture experts say the concerns about a widespread bacon shortage in coming months are pure -- hogwash. the american farm bureau federation now says that pork supplies will just decrease only slightly over the next few months over the drought. but you can expect to pay mor

includes a reception with bill clinton and dinner and a concert. >> tomorrow president obama will go to bakersfield to dedicate immomentument and then will arrive in the bay area -- monument and then arrive in the bay area. mitt romney campaigned in florida, knocking president obama's performance in last week's debate. >> you had the chance to hear his answers or his non-answers. [ laughter ] >> now, of course, we are hearing his excuses and january we will watch him leave the white house. >> mitt romney had to fight off a supporter who was attempting to wipe his face. a poll shows mitt romney about even with president obama in florida. in colorado mitt romney losing ground in the swing state since the debate. a poll found the president is leading by 4 points. that is one point less than a different poll taken before the debate. 80% said they watched the debate. >>> this week the nominees for vice president will go head to head in a debate. coming up, who is expressing confidence. >>> skiera is now -- south korea korea -- 186 miles in hopes of limiting a arm's race. they announced

what people are talking about. apparently, after last week's debate, polls show obama trailing mitt romney by one point. >> steve: ooh. >> jimmy: yeah, one point. or as it's also known, the thing obama failed to make during last week's debate. [ laughter ] [ cheers and applause ] last night, president obama actually joked about his debate performance by saying that he can't perform flawlessly night after night. [ laughter ] some people are saying he stole that line from a viagra commercial. but either way, i see that he -- yeah. speaking of the election, you guys, the vice presidential debate is just three days away. both sides are busy getting ready. and republican candidate paul ryan said that he expects joe biden to come at him like a cannonball. biden was, like, "there's going to be a pool there?" [ laughter ] "i'm more of a belly flop guy, but i can -- cannonball?" [ cheers and applause ] >> steve: he's, like, "jackknife!" >> jimmy: what's the jackknife? >> steve: "belly flop!" >> jimmy: you guys hear about this? this is a true, real story. during a concert last night in spain,

: candidates square off october 16th week and a half from now, long island, new york, at hofstra university. patti ann: the political winds may be shifting. governor romney enjoying quite a post-debate bounce. going past president obama in the rasmussen tracking poll. 49-to obama's 47. it was conducted at the end of the debate. scott rasmussen joins us with even fresher numbers. he will give them to us at the bottom of the hour at 9:30. bill: according to two professors at university of colorado new predictions for the 2012. project by two professors governor romney will win the election by picking up 330 electoral votes? they expect president obama will fall short with 208. you need 270 to win it all. university analyzes economic data and unemployment and income to make their predictions. that is about as bold we've seen so far. 330. patti ann: amid big concerns over the middle east and global unrest, governor romney is set to deliver this morning what his campaign is calling a major speech on foreign policy. we have our hands on a copy of his planned remarks. governor romney saying in par

survey, just out today, among likely voters, romney now leads obama 49-45. three weeks ago, pugh had the president on top 51-43. that's quite a turn around. it's due to the debate where 66% told pugh they say mitt romney won. just 20% believe mr. obama prevailed. rasmussen dale tracking poll today has the race tied among likely voters. 48% each. in iowa and colorado, the president is hanging tough. in iowa, it's obama 49, romney 47. colorado, obama 49, romney 48. both are dead heats within the margin of error. joining us from washington, democratic strategist marge mcclinton in for juan williams and mary katherine ham. the pugh number, 49-45 surprised me, mary katherine. same with you? >> i was a little surprised at how far it moved. i'm not surprised it's moving in mitt romney's favor. i mean, this was 70 million people watching and the guy who showed up, mitt romney showed up to do that job that night was the best he had ever looked and certainly obama, the worst he ever looked on a stage with someone else, i would say when we have seen him in the situations before. people tuned in

knockout blow on president obama and a five-point spread in one week in gallup. i know you will have scott rasmussen said in a few minutes. the race is two point advantage for romney, pulled ahead in virginia, and pulled ahead in florida and closed gap significantly in ohio. playing off fence at right time. you have to have a good october to be president. bill: you mentioned three big states. we'll get to that in 10 minutes time. kirsten, what do you think about the mo? is it now in mitt's favor? >> right now it is, yeah but i think you have to bear in mind this could shift again just as quickly if in the next debate president obama does very well. so i don't know that this is something that you should take as being, a permanent shift but it is definitely gotten mitt romney, back in the game i think before it was sort of drifting, the momentum was drifting toward obama. certainly if you looked at the battleground states and now you're seeing there is a battleground poll out today, they're neck-and-neck. so i think, a race is on what i would say. bill: i see. what rasmussen was saying

on middle income families. >> obama: now, five weeks before the election, he's saying his big, bold idea is never mind. >> romney is saying he would push for tax relief is another flip-flop. from his statement a few weeks ago that we should not expect a huge cut in taxes if he's elected president. we'll do some fact checking for you in the next current news update. despite the lies and contradictions from romney, a new cnn poll says 67% of voters do think he won the debate. more bill press coming up after the break. stay with us. you're about to watch an ad message created by a current tv viewer for capella university. matter. education is the key. it is the vehicle. it's the way in which we evolve. every journey is different every possibility is unique. but the beginning, the beginning is my craft. i'm an ordinary person striving to achieve extraordinary things. it started with a dream and i'm on my way there. [ ♪ theme ♪ ] >> announcer: broadcasting across the nation on your radio and on current tv, this is the "bill press show." >> bill: karl rove accuses commerce secretary j

. election day just four weeks away, four weeks. this is the big time. president obama holes a campaign rally today at ohio state university. mitt romney holds rallies in both ohio and iowa. and i want to take another look at those two polls that everyone is talking about this morning. they seem to paint different pictures of this race. the pew research center gives mitt romney a four-point lead over president obama. 49% to 45%. that survey did include more likely voters who identify themselves as republicans. however, the latest gallup tracking poll has president obama leading mitt romney 50% to 45%. this poll does include voters who were surveyed before the presidential debate which most voters say romney won though interestingly enough, it showed movement toward obama yesterday. all right. hard to keep track of. there's a lot going on here. cnn political reporter peter hamby joins us live from washington. please, peter, make sense of this for us. >> okay. these are the first two real credible polls we've seen since the debate. the bottom line here is there's movement in both toward m

-obama effect. it makes this huge romney lead even more surprising. wait for a week's worth of polls and we'll see where the race stands. as you point out, this is the best news romney has had since before his convention. >> does this couldn't as an october surprise. >> usually october surprises is some outside event that changes the election or something -- some conspiracy that a campaign polls at the last second to advantage themselves. this is mitt romney having as good a debate as he possibly could. look, good debates don't did the always move the numbers. the early indications are that romney moved the numbers. we talked last time about what he needed to do in that debate. he did every one of those things. >> whether the debates matter. >> let's not talk about that. >> look at him among women voters. before the debate, barack obama led 56% to 38%. in the pew poll now tied 47% to 47%. look at enthusiasm for mitt romney. also a fascinating number. before the debate it was at 56%. in the pew poll now it's at 67%. you'll have to pay my word for it there. it's not up on the screen. c